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News From Mathematica

May 18, 2005: A Semimonthly Update on New Publications, Presentations, and Other Developments

In This Issue:

Improving Care for Chronic Conditions:      
   —Report to Congress on Medicare Coordinated Care Demos Available  
   —A Look at the Program for Elders in Managed Care
Forecasting Demand: Vermont May Need to Expand Dialysis Capacity
Children's Health: San Mateo Program Experiences Rapid Growth
New Volume on Race, Poverty, and Domestic Policy

Fact to Consider:

Primary care physicians for more than 70 percent of clients participating in the Medicare Coordinated Care Demonstration felt the demonstration reduced fragmentation of care. Over half the physicians said the intervention identified problems they had not known about. Source: See # 1 below.

New Publications

Project Cover“The Demand for Dialysis Care in Vermont: 2005-2014.” Robert Schmitz, So Sasigant Limpa-Amara, and Amy O’Sullivan, March 2005. Analyzing the demand for dialysis care in Vermont over the next 10 years, Mathematica’s researchers found that demand will grow between 75 and 136 percent; most state dialysis centers will be oversubscribed by 2014 even with the addition of a new center in Newport; the addition of a Newport center aids in reducing travel time in some counties, but travel time would still exceed 60 minutes for a couple of counties (the standard specified in Vermont’s certificate of need guideline); and the number and proportion of patients projected to receive dialysis treatment out of state will increase steadily over time. Consequently, Vermont may have to consider further expansion of capacity to meet potential growth in demand. Available in print only; call 609-275-2350.

 

Covering Kids

Child with Doctor“Evaluation of the San Mateo County Children’s Health Initiative: First Annual Report.” Embry Howell (Urban Institute), Dana Hughes (University of California San Francisco), Holly Stockdale (Urban Institute), and Martha Kovac (Mathematica), April 2004. Launched in January 2003, the Children's Health Initiative is designed to ensure that 100 percent of the county’s children have access to comprehensive health insurance coverage through increasing the number of children enrolled in existing public health insurance programs (Healthy Families and Medi-Cal) and establishing a new insurance product, Healthy Kids, for children not eligible for public- or employer-based insurance. Early findings from the five-year evaluation include rapid enrollment growth in Healthy Kids, with most of the children coming from poor immigrant families; low rates of service use for Healthy Kids compared to Healthy Families and Medi-Cal; some decline in hospital admissions and emergency room visits for uninsured children; and strengthened communitywide collaboration to address issues of the uninsured.

 

Race, Poverty, and Domestic Policy

Book Cover "Earnings of Black and White Youth and Their Relation to Poverty." Philip M. Gleason and Glen G. Cain. In Race, Poverty, and Domestic Policy, edited by C. Michael Henry, 2004. The paper examines how unemployment among African American teenage males influences rates of family poverty. The authors suggest that, if the employment and earnings of young black males were similar to those of young white males, the poverty rate among black families would be substantially reduced.

"How Much More Can They Work? Setting Realistic Expectations for Welfare Mothers." LaDonna Pavetti. In Race, Poverty, and Domestic Policy, edited by C. Michael Henry, 2004. This paper uses data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth to examine young women's work experiences over a fixed period to gauge how much additional work can be realistically expected from young welfare recipients. The analysis suggests that, even if states succeed in getting the most disadvantaged young welfare recipients into the labor market, the women are likely to continue to experience substantial periods of joblessness and may continue to need access to a safety net for an extended period.

 

 

For more information, please contact Publications, 609-275-2350.

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